English
Geopolitical Analysis
Analysis of geopolitical and international security dynamics in the Euro-Atlantic and global context. Focus on great power competition, conflicts, alliances, deterrence, regional stability, and strategic governance.
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Saudi Arabia enters the US–Iran war
On 29 July 2026 Saudi Arabia entered the US–Iran war, striking Iran-aligned militias in Iraq together with the United States. It is the entry of the last major Gulf actor that had tried to stay out, and it marks a transformation of the conflict, welding the military, energy and maritime domains into a single pressure configuration.
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NATO Military Logistics: the Critical Subsystem that Sustains Deterrence
La deterrenza si misura di solito in mezzi visibili: carri, aerei, missili. Esiste però una condizione che rende quei mezzi utilizzabili oppure inutili: la capacità di rifornirli di carburante dove serve e quando serve. La logistica militare NATO è questa condizione. L’estensione verso est della rete di oleodotti dell’Alleanza porta alla luce un sottosistema critico rimasto a lungo fuori dal dibattito pubblico, e con esso una vulnerabilità che non riguarda solo l’infrastruttura fisica, ma il modo in cui l’Alleanza decide. Questa analisi si colloca nell’ambito dei Sottosistemi Critici. Non è la cronaca di un annuncio, ma una lettura strutturale: che…
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Myanmar and Sudan: the forgotten wars at the threshold of systemic rupture
Myanmar and Sudan are, in mid-2026, two of the deadliest conflicts on the planet — and two of the least reported. The first application of the MST framework to the two dossiers yields a clear result: Sudan has entered systemic breakdown, Myanmar is in critical convergence. And the most dangerous common factor is not military: it is the attention that is missing.
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Sport as an Arena of Legitimization: FIFA, the Board of Peace, and the Contested Neutrality of Milano-Cortina
Sports geopolitics is redefining the role of FIFA, the IOC, and major international sporting events as instruments of political legitimacy and strategic competition.
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Italian Military Bases in Operation Epic Fury Against Iran
On 24 June 2026, in an interview with Fox News, NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte stated that approximately 500 U.S. aircraft had departed from American military bases located on Italian territory as part of Operation Epic Fury, the U.S. operation conducted against Iran.