CSR identifies global decision-making architectures that generate events and
measures when the global system accumulates critical pressure.
The international system is analysed through three integrated lines of inquiry, combining geopolitical analysis, international security and systemic risk analysis to interpret global decision-making architectures and the pressure dynamics that shape them.
Assessment of the
Global System State
Risk Assessment of Strategic Nodes and Critical Subsystems
Strategic Interpretation
of the System
Global Systemic State – June 2026 (*)
The Global System State represents the observable manifestation of the global decision architectures currently shaping the international system.
GSA Index: 4.17 / 5
1.0 – 2.0
Sustainable pressure
2.0 – 3.0
Latent
Accumulation
3.0 – 4.0
Systemic friction
4.0 – 4.5
▲
Critical convergence
4.5 – 5.0
Systemic
Breackdown
Despite being in Critical Convergence, the system remains stable because the pressures identified across 8 of the 9 macro-regions have not yet synchronized.
(*) The values do not represent estimates or opinions,
but a synthesis of the systemic pressure configuration observed during the analysis cycle.
They are derived from the application of the Multi-System Tension (MST) framework.
The method integrates multi-level assessment criteria and selected and verified open-source sources.
These assessments are replicable exclusively within the analytical framework.
The CSR Analysis Method
The CSR method integrates global system assessment, risk analysis and strategic interpretation of decision-making architectures.
Global Systemic State
Public overview of the international system's configuration during the current assessment cycle.
The Dashboard provides a concise representation of the Global System Assessment (GSA)
Global System Assessment
Structural assessment of the configuration of the international system.
The GSA integrates the assessments of geopolitical macro-regions, Strategic Nodes and Critical Subsystems, providing a unified assessment of the state of the international system.
Strategic analysis
Strategic analysis interprets the international system by identifying decision-making architectures, pressure dynamics and the conditions that make events possible.
It integrates geopolitical, energy, financial, technological, and cognitive dimensions into a unified interpretation of the system.
Cognitive Power represents a structural dimension of global strategic analysis.
For an institutional overview of the role of open-source intelligence, see also the IC OSINT Strategy 2024–2026 (ODNI).
Risk Assessment
CSR – Risk Assessment
GGlobal decision-making architectures generate risk configurations that manifest through Strategic Nodes and Critical Subsystems.
The CSR Framework assesses their pressure, vulnerabilities and potential for systemic propagation.